Monday, July 21, 2014

Market Summary for the day : 21/07/2014

Extending their northbound journey to fifth straight session, Indian equity markets accumulated gains of around quarter of a percent, which lifted Sensex and Nifty higher above the psychologically crucial 25,700 and 7,650 levels respectively.
 Unlike, the trend seen in previous four trading sessions, not much of buying was witnessed in the last hour of trade,rather selling pressure which was witnessed in the last hour of trade mainly halved markets’ gains and dragged benchmarks to day’s low point as much of market-participants triggered profits at higher levels. Nevertheless, it was a broadly positive session of trade, wherein broader indices outperformed frontline indices by quite a good of a margin, with both Midcap and Small-cap indices settling higher with gains in the range of 0.55%-0.85%.
 On the global front, Most Asian stock markets settled higher as investors set aside geopolitical concerns for the moment to focus on the generally upbeat flow of U.S. corporate earnings ahead of a host of results due this week.
 Slew of better than expected corporate earnings and good monsoon reports mainly kept the markets sentiment upbeat for yet another session. On the earnings front, shares in Reliance Industries rose over 2% to Rs 1003 after it reported better-than-expected quarterly profit in its first quarter. Its consolidated net profit increased 13.7% year-onyear to Rs 5,957 crore, bolstered by over 27% y-o-y increase in its oil and gas revenue and higher refining margin.
HDFC Ltd. too rallied over 2% after the company’s standalone profit for the quarter ended 30 June rose 14.62% to Rs.1,344.66 crore from Rs 1,173.10 crore in the corresponding period a year ago.
 Finance Minister Arun Jaitley has stated that the recapitalization to the tune of Rs 2.4 lakh crore in public sector banks to meet Basel III norms is a high priority item for the government. Finance Minister added that the government will make a plan for recapitalizing of public sector banks over the next four years and capital would be raised by the banks without diluting the government stake below 51 percent.
 Latest weather reports which suggested of monsoon deficit coming down by 31% with rains picking up in July across the country, also buttressed the sentiment. Sectorally, while stocks from FMCG, Consumer Durables and Oil & Gas counters were the major pillars of markets’ strength, those from Realty, Capital Goods and Metal counters were the weak links of trade. The market breadth on the BSE ended positive; advances and declining stocks were in a ratio of 1693: 1265, while 107 scrips remained unchanged.
 Sensex gained 43.09 points at 25684.65. The index touched a high and a low of 25861.15 and 25677.77 respectively. 14 stocks gained against 16 declines on the index. BSE Mid cap and Small cap indices ended in red. Nifty ended higher by 20.30 points at 7,684.20. The index touched high and low of 7,722.10 and 7,674.00 respectively. 25 stocks ended in the green against 25 stocks ending in red.
 On the BSE sectoral front, FMCG was up by 1.04%, Oil and Gas up by 0.32% and Consumer Durables gained 0.49% were the few gainers, while Realty down by 1.09%, Capital Goods down by 0.89%, PSU down by 0.66%, Infrastructure was down by 0.52% and Metal down by 0.35% were the major losers in the space.
 Top gainers on the Sensex were HDFC up by 2.44%, RIL up by 1.99%, ITC up by 1.35%, Axis Bank up by 1.00% and HUL was up by 0.96%. On the flip side, Tata Power down by 1.99%, SBI down by 1.74%, Gail India down by 1.53%, Infosys down by 1.42% and BHEL down by 1.28% were the major losers.

TECHNICAL PARAMETERS OF NIFTY

Today, RSI was at 59, MACD Positive below Signal line; India VIX was at 15~, Nifty closed above all its moving averages like 5 DMA (7486), 20 DMA (7610), 50 DMA (7486) & 200 DMA (6602) which all indicates that market is in strong bull run, though we may see some profit booking at higher levels but overall trend remains positive only.

Stocks in down trend 21/07/2014

Script nameLast5d-move
Nakoda Textile.5.65-20.60%
94.65-19.90%
Winsome Diamon.2.40-15.10%
Net 4 India Ltd5.00-14.50%
Timbor Home Ltd12.35-11.90%
Decolight Cera.1.95-11.80%
Syncom Healthc.6.30-10.50%
Moser Baer (In.10.10-9.86%
Power Finance .269.75-9.01%
Rural Electrif.1101.00-8.92%
Sundaram Multi.3.30-8.51%
Arvind Remedies32.70-8.37%
JVL Agro Indus.17.80-7.61%
Sasken Communi.306.20-7.50%

Stocks in uptrend 21/07/2014


Script nameLast5d-move
Advani Hotels .87.50+39.00%
Ahluwalia Cont.144.55+34.70%
D P S C Ltd22.95+33.20%
Store One Reta.67.40+32.10%
Hercules Hoists Ltd171.75+31.80%
Genesys Intern.71.00+31.80%
Hitachi Home &.364.65+31.60%
Tata Sponge Iron Ltd854.70+30.10%
Hi-Tech Gears Ltd172.00+30.00%
Sangam (India) Ltd80.40+29.10%
Brooks Laboratories39.40+26.60%
Granules India Ltd678.20+24.20%
BF Investment Ltd94.45+24.00%
Marksans Pharma Ltd34.50+23.90%

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment 21/07/2014

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII21-Jul-2014992.281173.44-181.16

Saturday, July 19, 2014

Market Outlook for the next week 21/07/2014 to 25/07/2014

The passing week was cheerful for the markets when the major bourses moving higher for four out of five sessions managed gains of about two and half a percent and the Nifty managed to retain its 6300 level. 
In the coming week, markets will be awaiting Consumer Price Index (Industrial Workers) data, which is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2014. However, ongoing result season would mainly provide cues. In the coming week, biggies like Canara Bank, Exide Industries, HDFC , HDFC Bank, Idea Cellular, Hindustan Zinc, Asian Paints, Axis Bank, Ceat, ING Vysya Bank, Thermax, Cairn India, L&T Finance Holdings, MRF, Yes Bank, ACC, Ambuja Cements, Bharti Infratel, Biocon, Mahindra & Mah Finance, TVS Motors , Wipro, Colgate Palmolive, JK Lakshmi Cement, Indian Bank among others. 
Besides, investors would also be tracking weather updates on monsoon, FDI trend and Rupee momentum among other things. As per the latest weather report, the southwest monsoon covered the entire country on Thursday, on the back of a surge in rain that has seen the monsoon deficit reduce 8 percentage points in the last five-six days. 
On the global front, traders will be eyeing important macro data from US, starting with Consumer Price Index on July 22, followed by Existing Home Sales, Jobless Claims, New Homes Sales, Fed Balance Sheet and finally Durable Goods orders data on July 25, 2014.

Technical viewpoints
During the week, CNX Nifty touched the highest level of 7,685.00 on July 18, 2014 and the lowest point of 7422.15 on July 14, 2014. On the last trading day, the Nifty closed at 7663.90 with a weekly gain of 204.30 points or 2.74%. For the coming week, 7495.70 followed by 7327.50 are likely to be good support levels for the Nifty, while the index may face resistance at 7758.55 and further at 7853.20 levels.

WEEKLY TECHNICAL LEVELS-INDICES-EQUITY 

NIFTY- PIVOT POINT       7590 
MAJOR SUPPORT         7495 7327 7232 
MAJOR RESISITANCE   7758 7853 8021 
SENSEX-PIVOT POINT      25415 
MAJOR SUPPORT       25117 24594 24296 
MAJOR RESISTANCE   25939 26327 26760 
USD/INR-NSE 

PIVOT POINT               60.14 
MAJOR SUPPRT        59.82 59.27 59.14 
MAJOR RESISTANCE 60.50 60.82 61.18 

MAJOR EVENTS FOR THE NEXT WEEK 

21 JULY GERMAN PPI 
22 JULY USA CPI 
23 JULY CRUDE OIL INVENTORIES USA 
24 JULY REATIL SALES UK 
25 JULY BANK LOAN GROWTH INDIA 


Stocks in uptrend 18/07/2014


Script nameLast5d-move
Axis IT&T Ltd111.10+36.70%
Advani Hotels .85.30+36.40%
Hitachi Home &.359.25+34.00%
Tata Sponge Iron Ltd840.65+32.00%
Ahluwalia Cont.135.45+31.70%
HOV Services Ltd114.15+31.50%
Rico Auto Indu.20.15+26.50%
Sangam (India) Ltd76.10+26.30%
Brooks Laboratories37.00+22.30%
Kitex Garments280.65+20.40%
Genesys Intern.63.45+19.90%
Store One Reta.61.30+19.80%
Capital First246.60+19.20%
Bombay Burmah .148.35+18.30%

Stocks in Downtrend 18/07/2014


Script nameLast5d-move
Shrenuj & Comp.63.05-47.90%
Moser Baer (In.9.65-19.20%
NIIT Technolog.385.05-17.20%
Syncom Healthc.6.55-16.30%
Decolight Cera.1.95-16.10%
Net 4 India Ltd5.25-14.60%
Winsome Diamon.2.50-14.50%
Nakoda Textile.6.15-13.20%
Timbor Home Ltd12.35-11.90%
Arvind Remedies33.20-11.00%
JVL Agro Indus.17.75-10.40%
Piramal Enterprises641.80-7.36%
Indian Hotels Co Ltd93.50-7.20%
Kirloskar Brot.283.20-7.13%

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment 18/07/2014

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII18-Jul-20141074.521357.69-283.17

Friday, July 18, 2014

Market Summary for the day : 17/07/2014

Indian equity benchmarks ended the choppy day of trade on quiet note with positive bias as investors turned cautious and booked profits at higher levels. Sentiments remained optimistic on report that overseas investors bought Indian shares worth 6.21 billion rupees on July 16, 2014. Some support also came on report that the deficit in monsoon rains is expected to narrow next week as the grain bowl in northwest, oilseed areas of central parts and cotton belt of the western region are set to get higher downpours. The monsoon rains were 15% below average in the past week, against 41% below average rainfall in the previous week. 

 However, upside remained capped as investors remained on sidelines ahead of important numbers of IT bellwether Tata Consultancy Services (TCS). The company is likely to report modest decline in net profit on Q-o-Q, weighed down by impact of salary increases and appreciation of rupee. 

 Global cues remained sluggish with Asian markets ending mostly in the red on Thursday, giving up earlier modest gains as Chinese shares fell, while the euro probed recent lows against the dollar amid speculation the U.S. Federal Reserve was tilting towards tighter monetary policy. 

 Back home, rally in capital goods shares aided the sentiments as stocks like, L&T and BHEL edged higher after Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced incentives to raise long term bonds for infrastructure financing. Metal pack witnessed heavy buying with Hindalco and Tata Steel followed by Coal India and Sesa Sterlite on the back of positive  Chinese GDP growth data. Power stocks too remained investors’ choice after Delhi Electricity Regulatory Commission (DERC) approved tariff hike of 8.32 percent for all three discoms Reliance ADAG-owned discom BSES Yamuna  Power (BYPL), BSES Rajdhani Power (BRPL), Tata Power Delhi Distribution Company (TPDDL). 

 Export oriented stocks too remained on buyers’ radar, as Federation of Indian Exports Organisations (FIEO) has said that export momentum is likely to continue in the coming months on the back of higher demand helped by an uptick in global economies and measures announced in the Union Budget. Additionally, public sector oil marketing companies (OMCs) too edged higher on reports that losses on sale of diesel have fallen by nearly a rupee to Rs 2.49 per litre as international oil rates have moderated. On the flip side, auto pack ran out of steam after Bajaj Auto’s net profit rose marginally 0.31% to Rs 739.98 crore in first quarter ended June 2014 over the corresponding quarter in the previous year. 

 The NSE’s 50-share broadly followed index Nifty ended higher by over fifteen points to end above its psychological 7,600 support level, while Bombay Stock Exchange’s Sensitive Index -- Sensex edged higher by over ten points to end above the psychological 25,550 mark. The broader markets outperformed benchmarks and ended the session with a gain of around one and a half percent. The market breadth remained in favour of advances, as there were 1,746 shares on the gaining side against 1,188 shares on the losing side while 112 shares remain unchanged. 

 Finally, the BSE Sensex added 11.44 points or 0.04%, to 25561.16, while the CNX Nifty gained 16.05 points or 0.21%, to 7,640.45. 

 The BSE Sensex touched a high and a low of 25613.03 and 25494.46, respectively. The BSE Mid cap index was up by 1.37%, while Small cap index gained 1.35%. 

 The top gainers on the Sensex were Hindalco Inds up by 3.91%, Tata Power up by 3.53%, Tata Steel up by 2.99%, Coal India up by 2.86% and NTPC up by 2.63%. On the flip side, the key losers were Mahindra & Mahindra down by 3.18%, Bajaj Auto down by 2.27%, Gail India down by 0.91%, Maruti Suzuki down by 0.87% and TCS down by 0.84%. 

 On the BSE sectoral front, Metal up by 2.46%, Power up by 2.36%, Consumer Durables up by 2.11%, Capital Goods up by 1.16% and PSU up by 0.89% were the top gainers, while Realty down by 0.77%, Oil & Gas down by 0.42%, Auto down by 0.16% and Bankex down by 0.01% were the losers in the space.

Technical Parameters of Nifty

Today, RSI was at 57. MACD Positive below Signal line; India VIX was at 15~. Nifty closed below its short moving averages like 5 DMA (7541) & 20 DMA (7593) but still above its medium term moving average like 50 DMA (7456) & long term MA of 200 DMA (6583) which all indicates that profit booking may continue at higher levels, but long trend remains positive in the medium to long term. 



Thursday, July 17, 2014

Stocks in uptrend 17/07/2014


Script nameLast5d-move
Tata Sponge Iron Ltd803.20+26.90%
Axis IT&T Ltd103.95+24.60%
Thinksoft Glob.561.45+23.90%
Tata Metaliks Ltd90.30+23.60%
BF Investment Ltd93.35+22.80%
BF Utilities Ltd777.05+22.50%
Savita Oil Tec.811.85+21.10%
Sangam (India) Ltd72.05+19.70%
Nagreeka Exports Ltd31.40+19.60%
Jaypee Infratech Ltd37.05+19.10%
Ahluwalia Cont.126.65+19.00%
HCL Infosystems Ltd74.05+17.60%
Financial Tech.277.20+15.00%
Hitachi Home &.314.15+14.80%

Stocks in downtrend 17/07/2014

Script nameLast5d-move
Shrenuj & Comp.62.60-51.90%
Shakti Pumps (.197.45-19.90%
Moser Baer (In.10.15-19.10%
Winsome Diamon.2.60-15.60%
1.40-14.90%
Decolight Cera.2.00-13.60%
Timbor Home Ltd12.80-13.20%
Net 4 India Ltd5.45-11.00%
Sanofi India2943.95-10.40%
Arvind Remedies33.60-10.30%
Compucom Softw.11.80-8.91%
Kalindee Rail .91.10-8.67%
Electrosteel S.5.85-7.95%
JVL Agro Indus.17.65-7.85%