Monday, September 30, 2013

Outlook of nifty on 01/10/2013


Nifty closed on a strong bear note at 5735 level. So today the first resistance for nifty is at 5767-72 level. Next resistance ranges are at 5798-03,5850-55,5880-85,5907-12,5945-50,5968-72,5989-94,6034-38,6065-70,6096-01,6121-26,6170-75,6212-16,6230-36,6262-66,6313-18,6367-6372 levels. On downside first support is at 5703-98 level. Next supports are at 5672-68,5621-16,5590-85,5560-55,5524-19,5493-88,5444-40,5410-05,5365-60,5338-33 level.The trend is in bearish side and better no long until nifty is above 5800 level.On down side intraday support areas are at 5698, 5668 and 5620 level. 

Positional Support for NIFTY 5704 5698 5643 

Positional Resistance for NIFTY is 5754 5759 5823 5852 5901 5910 .
Intraday Resistance of NIFTY are 5798.2 : 5850.3 : 5849.5 : 5865.4
Intraday Support of NIFTY are 5672.4 : 5620.3 : 5622.3 : 5606.7

Buisness Standard (30/09/2013)


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Sunday, September 29, 2013

Outlook of nifty from 30/09/2013 to 04/10/2013



CMP
5833.20
Nifty Range
5655 to 6012
Pivot Point
5878
Turning Points
5792/5965
Positive Above
5882
Negative Below
5784
Bull Turning Point
5931
Bear Turning Point
5735
Nifty has closed (5833.20) below Weekly Pivot Point (5878).
Nifty has immediate Resistance at 5850 and then at 5862. Nifty must cross 5879 and stay above 5898 on Closing Basis to continue its Up-move. If Nifty manages to cross and decisively close above 5915, it may go up to 5934 – 5956. Above 5969, Nifty will enter into Bull Zone and may move up to 5982 – 6001 - 6020. Further Up-move Levels will be 6042 – 6063.
Nifty has immediate Support at 5824 and then at 5810. If Nifty breaches 5795, it may go down to 5781 – 5769. Nifty will get weak below 5757 and may go down to 5748 – 5736. Below 5724, Nifty will enter into Bear Zone and may go down to 5712 – 5700 – 5686 - 5674. Further Down-move Levels will be 5662 – 5645 – 5630 – 5616.
Moving Averages
Average
20 Days
50 Days
100 Days
200 Days
SMA
5784
5714
5815
5841
EMA
5805
5752
5769
5752
General Out-Look
Nifty Trend looks to be Sideways. Global Cues are Mixed. Nifty may continue its Upmove if it manages to HOLD above 5879 on Closing Basis, crosses 5898 and stays above 5915. The Upmove will be up to 5934 – 5956 – 5969. On the other hand if it HOLDS below 5795, breaches 5781 and trades below 5769, it is likely to be dragged down to 5757 – 5748 – 5736 – 5724.  

Fresh Strength will be seen only above 5850 and 5866. If Nifty manages to stay above 5866, next Upmove Levels will be 5882 - 5931 and then 5970 - 6012.
Below 5817, Nifty could slip down to 5801 – 5784. If 5784 is breached, break-down to 5735 – 5692 – 5655 is likely to be seen.

Factors of Concern/Major Events
1. This Week has 4 Working Days. Wednesday, 2-10-13 will be Holiday on account of Gandhi Jayanti.
2. Domestic and Global News/Cues (Especially from European and U.S. Markets).
3. Status of Rupee versus Dollar.
4. FOMC Meeting on 28/29th October 13
5. RBI Monetary Policy Review on 29th October 13.
6. News floating around as regards to QE-3 tapering, GAAR and further hike in Interest Rates by RBI, in view of untamed Inflation.
7. Corporate Results to commence and Infosys Result on 11-10-13.